Game: Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Date and Time: September 14, 2026, 8:20 PM
Lines for bets are current as of posting and may change.
Patrick Mahomes over 20.5 completions (-114)
Since these are division rivals, I chose to look at Patrick Mahomes’ game logs versus the Broncos. Data from Stathead Football showed 15 regular season games (in which Mahomes is 13-2 against the Broncos) with 361 completions. Activate bullet points mode:
- Mahomes has hit this line in 12 out of the 15 games; an 80% hit rate. Across these games, he has averaged 24.1 completions per game.
- In 7 home games, Mahomes hit this line 6 times while averaging 25.4 completions per game.
- In the last 5 games against the Broncos, Mahomes averaged 28 completions per game.
Something to note is that this is Mahomes’ first regular season game since his knee injury last year and he didn’t play in any preseason games. Based on that, a wiser person might stay away from any bets on Mahomes for this game.
J.K Dobbins over 49.5 rushing yards (-113)
The crux of this bet is J.K. Dobbins’ performance last season with the Broncos. In 10 games with the Broncos last year, he cleared this line in 9 out of 10 games and averaged 77.2 rushing yards per game.
Even against top-10 run defenses by rushing yards allowed, Dobbins still cleared this line and averaged 73.3 rushing yards per game.
Results
- ❓Patrick Mahomes over 20.5 completions – Pending
- ❓J.K Dobbins over 49.5 rushing yards – Pending
